In the afternoon after Chen Qing left, Simon's work was still related to China.
Charlotte Brittany conceals some of her thoughts, and Chen Qing can't be completely honest with Charlotte Brittany.
After returning from China this time, Chen Qing also brought back to Simon the latest research reports of cerxi capital economics research team on major Chinese enterprises. After Simon's first trip to China last year, he only sent a team of 15 analysts. After one year's continuous recruitment and local recruitment, the research team set up in Shanghai has expanded To the scale of more than 100 people.
Cersei Capital China Economic Research Institute was officially established.
For one year, Simon invested more than 20 million US dollars. His team traveled all over China and surveyed more than 2000 companies from all walks of life across the ocean. The information sent back from front to back was enough to fill a personal computer with ten gigabytes of capacity. Although Chen Qing is responsible for bringing back these materials, even Chen Qing is not qualified to view the notebook computer loaded with documents without Simon's permission.
Even though the Internet has been able to penetrate the world at this stage, the manual transmission of a lot of data is still a tradition of Simon's team.
Mainly for the sake of confidentiality.
Of course, this does not mean that this team is involved in illegal operations such as commercial espionage. Cerxi Capital China Institute of Economics (Shanghai) is a very formal registered enterprise, and there is no lack of such institutions and enterprises in China at this stage. The difference lies in the professionalism and research objectives.
At present, China's official economic research institutions basically focus on macroeconomic research.
Simon is too lazy to talk about it.
As for the private research team of service enterprises, the so-called Research Report, in which all kinds of public data are pieced together and sold for thousands of yuan, is even more flattering.
If you want to invest in a local market, the first thing you need to do is to have a full understanding of this market. The more large enterprises pay more attention to this kind of basic research. If we ignore this, the result will be even more disastrous.
China has no mature consulting and research industry in the west, so it can only do it by itself.
In fact, many international giants with a little ambition want to carry out layout in China.
Different from the castles in the air of China's official institutions and the patchwork of the private sector, the team of cerxi capital's China Economic Research Institute is very professional and has a strong purpose to focus on the layout of the Westeros system in China. Westero system focuses on entertainment, fashion, science and technology, finance and other fields. This team has a very deep research in China. At the same time, it focuses on the micro fields with strong reference, directly aiming at the actual enterprises in the relevant industries, whether positive or negative.
As a result, the team also plays a subsidiary role in headhunting.
Simon wants to make a wide distribution in China, but what he lacks most is talents. Therefore, while studying a large number of enterprises in various fields, cersei Capital China Institute of economics has quietly established the senior management files of many enterprises and carried out follow-up evaluation.
In the past few years, especially in the recent year, Simon's investment in China has actually far exceeded Chen Qing's several projects.
After returning from China last year, Simon asked all the core enterprises of westero system to send teams to China to carry out business, such as Denise entertainment, cersei capital, igrit, melisandro, Cisco, AOL, aliya, tincobail, Verizon, etc., as well as a larger number of subsidiaries directly or indirectly controlled by these core enterprises Companies.
Even if it was elite, a model economy giant who just won a few months ago, Simon didn't forget to remind grace to start the relevant business.
At the beginning, Simon didn't make a clear request for the task.
However, half a year later, Simon personally reviewed the business achievements of the teams dispatched by these enterprises one by one, rewarded them well, hesitated to give warnings, and directly used knives to deal with them passively, and then fired hundreds of people.
Overall, most of the core subsidiaries have established themselves in China.
Danilisi entertainment, cersei capital, Cisco, melisandro and other companies that have been in the layout for a long time have developed rapidly in China, and their related fields have occupied a considerable market share.
Just recently, Levinson group, controlled by westero system, has successfully captured a plot on the Bank of Huangpu River in Pudong New Area of Shanghai and started to plan the first large-scale real estate project of westero system in China. Among them is the close support of cerxi capital's China Economic Research Institute, including the Chinese local partners selected by Levison group, the voting price of the plot, the market positioning of the real estate development, and so on.
Without a series of accurate and reliable industry information support, even Simon, a layman, will not venture into China's real estate industry.
The water is too deep.
There are too many pits.
If you don't pay attention, you may lose everything.
Simon, a latecomer, has to admire the accurate analysis of Shanghai Pudong New Area's development potential in the relevant materials of cerxi Capital China Institute of economics. Although it has been five years since China started the development of Pudong New Area in Shanghai, there are still many people who are looking down on this plan. After all, at this stage, most people's eyes are on the Pearl River Delta, not the Yangtze River Delta.However, Simon is clear that more than a decade later, for various reasons, the economic size of the Yangtze River Delta will be far away from the Pearl River Delta, which has all kinds of favorable conditions at this time.
The team of cerxi Capital China Economic Research Institute did not have Simon's advantage as a prophet, but made a similar judgment based on various survey information. This alone convinced Simon that the more than 20 million dollars he burned in the past year were worth the money. So Simon has decided to continue to add to the team's budget.
Because it will not provide business services to the outside world, the research team will not be able to obtain direct revenue, and Simon will not allow the relevant research results to be shared with outsiders. However, according to the information provided by the Research Institute, the potential benefits of investment in various fields in China will definitely far exceed the expenditure of this sector.
On the afternoon of the same day, Simon also issued another instruction to cersei Capital China Research Institute according to Charlotte brenita's proposal: survey the private education industry in China.
Charlotte brenita's international student business comes second.
Simon mainly thinks of the vocational training schools that began to rise in China in the 1990s. In his memory, the advertisements of those vocational schools can be called brainwashing. In retrospect, we can also have a glimpse of the huge market scale of China's vocational training field.
There's no reason not to get a piece of it.
With the background of foreign investment, westero system has considerable advantages in this field.
Moreover, with all the subsidiaries of westero system setting up product factories in China one after another, Simon is planning to support a group of professional OEM manufacturers in the near future. Professional work will be handed over to professional people, and the low-end miscellaneous production links will be outsourced. This can optimize the asset structure of Nokia, tincobail and other companies.
On the other hand, Simon is also well aware of the importance of production links. Even if Nokia and other enterprises let go of outsourcing, he does not intend to support outsourcing manufacturers who are directly controlled by the westero system, which is the most sensible choice.
This program can be combined with investment vocational training.
After all, after participating in vocational training, there is always a need to work. Outsourcing enterprises just have a huge labor demand, which is completely complementary.
After the end of the week, the new week is December 11.
1995 came to an end.
On Monday, December 11, a sec report quickly spread to major newspapers, television networks and online media platforms in North America.
Westero announced that due to investment needs, it will reduce its holding of 20 million shares of Daniels Entertainment Group in the near future.
On the opening day of Monday, the share price of Denise entertainment was US $97.25, with a total market value of US $252.7 billion. A large number of Wall Street analysts and major North American financial media are generally optimistic that the market value of Denise Entertainment Group will break through the US $300 billion mark in a quarter at most. Therefore, the recent trading of Denise entertainment stock is very active.
Unexpectedly, suddenly ushered in a major shareholder most do not want to see the reduction.
20 million shares. According to the opening stock price on Monday, the total value is only $1.975 billion, which is only six thousandths of the 2.599 billion shares of Danieli entertainment. If other institutional holders reduce their holdings, as long as they operate properly, they will not cause market fluctuations.
But this time it was Simon westrow.
So, does a super tycoon also realize that the market has peaked and may turn at any time, so he can't help cashing in?
If you can know the inside story of the Westeros system, you will find that three months ago, cersei's hedge focused cersei fund management team had reduced its long position in the US stock market to less than US $5 billion, and generally only had two to three times of ultra-low leverage.
In the last three months, cersei's fund management team has been banned from establishing any short positions in the US stock market.
The two measures, on the one hand, are to minimize their own possible losses, on the other hand, are to avoid potential legal risks.
Because of the strict confidentiality of cersei fund management company, there are not many people who really know the inside information. Even if there will inevitably be some information leakage, the people who get the inside information will not be stupid enough to make it known everywhere. Of course, they will make a lot of money.
So, when the news was announced, the whole market was caught off guard.
Simon himself and the team around him never stopped ringing on Monday.
The feedback from the market is more direct.
On Monday, because of westero's announcement, danelis Entertainment's share price fell 5.1%, and its one-day market value evaporated $12.8 billion, which is more than six times of Simon's announcement.
The chain reaction is even stronger.
All the "westero concept stocks" fell on the same day. The shares of several leading technology stocks, such as igrit, Cisco and AOL, all fell more than 5%. Affected by this, the Nasdaq market also fell from a high of 2796 points to 2687 points, down 3.9%. According to the current total market value of the entire Nasdaq stock market of 3.6 trillion, on this day alone, the market value of the Nasdaq stock market evaporated to 140 billion US dollars.It has been more than two months since igritte's listing. The continuous strong trend of the Nasdaq market has made many short sellers lose. In order to make up for the losses, most hedge funds have to turn to long.
No one expected that Simon westero would suddenly play this trick.
Is this to kill everyone?
However, the market is still struggling to adhere to a small number of short is ecstatic, when westero announced the reduction of danilisi entertainment stock news released, these people immediately mobilized all the forces they can use, the reduction of the impact on the largest.
The effect is remarkable.
On the other hand, that afternoon, the president called Simon and asked him what he wanted to do?
What does Simon want to do?
It's very simple.
To suppress the overheating of the capital market.
And cash out.
Although the popularity of the new technology industry has reached the degree that people can be scalded, Simon remembers that the 3000 point of NASDAQ is a turning point. After 3000 points, the market completely lost its mind and doubled in less than a year, reaching the peak of 6000 points.
And then collapse.
Seeing that the Nasdaq stock market is getting closer to 3000 points, Simon has to advance the plan to reduce its holdings which will be launched only next year.
After all, we can't wait until 3000, so the risk will increase greatly.
Therefore, the reduction of Denise entertainment stock is only the beginning.
Denise entertainment is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. It is reasonable that it will not affect the Nasdaq market. Of course, everyone knows exactly what it is. First of all, Simon chose Denise entertainment on purpose.
danireis Entertainment Group is the highest gold company in the current stage, and its market position, revenue volume and profitability are very robust. Even if the market value is high, the bubble is very small. First of all, reducing the stock of the company will cause the market volatility to be minimal.
Of course, only in theory.
Although Simon has made a lot of arrangements in advance, the risk is inevitable, even leading to the collapse of the market. This kind of black swan event is not impossible.
It's just that some things have to be done.
As long as it is successful, this action is expected to delay the peak time of the Nasdaq market by one to two years, so it will give the new technology industry of the United States and even the world one to two years more development time.
In fact, this is to buy time for the westero system itself.
because once the Nasdaq's new technology bubble burst, the market will inevitably enter a period of cold winter. The period of cold winter in memory is about two to three years. It seems that it will not be long but it will hit many new technology enterprises which hope to develop rapidly.
Now, by actively suppressing the overheated market and fighting for more time, companies such as igrit, Cisco and AOL will have a deeper foundation and a stronger ability to resist risks.
That's what Simon explained to the president.
Of course, there are also considerations for the president.
Simon has always been a good man.
If we do not suppress the overheating of the Nasdaq market at this time, we will enter the 1996 election year immediately. By that time, NASDAQ is likely to collapse suddenly in the middle of Clinton's re-election campaign. In that case, the main achievements of the president's first four-year term will be cleared.
Now, the westero system has taken the initiative to keep the Nasdaq market under control. At least next year, the results of the information superhighway plan will still exist. The U.S. economy will not decline, the unemployment rate will continue to decline, and the re-election of the president will be certain.
Clinton obviously did not fully listen to Simon's deception, only asked a very sharp question: what if he failed?
In case of failure?
Simon's reply also left the president speechless: do you want to see the Nasdaq market collapse immediately, and then spend a year to recover as much as possible, or do you want to see the Nasdaq market collapse at the key point of your re-election campaign, such as next November?
What's more, without a certain degree of confidence, Simon will not rashly launch.
Over the years, Simon has gained a deeper understanding of Soros's reflexivity theory that "market participants can influence market trends at the same time.".
For the first few years, Simon was just a "player" and a pawn.
Now, Simon is a player who can have an "impact" on the market trend, a chess player.
The market fluctuation on the first day of the announcement of the reduction was actually within Simon's expectation.
At noon of the same day, the whole westrow system started to launch because of the proper arrangement in advance.
Analysts from financial giants such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan and First Boston have expressed their views on maintaining stability one after another. A series of newspapers closely related to the westero system have also started to publish all kinds of articles on maintaining stability or confusing them. Some of the core members of the westero system have also personally contacted the heads of the major mutual funds and insurance funds to persuade them not to follow suit.The effect is remarkable.
In the early morning of the next day, many people trembled. After a night, the Nasdaq market rebounded by 2.1% in just one hour after the opening in the morning. Denise entertainment shares, listed on the New York Stock Exchange, also rebounded 3.6%.
The next step is to cook the frogs in warm water.
Starting with danielis entertainment, we continue to reduce the shares of the core enterprises of the westero system. On the one hand, we take a large amount of cash to invest in other aspects of the westero system, and on the other hand, we prevent NASDAQ technology stocks from going crazy as late as possible.
In fact, this plan needs the close cooperation of all parties.
Including the Washington authorities.
On Monday afternoon, during the more than an hour long phone call with the president, he roughly disclosed his plan, and Simon also asked the president to put pressure on the Federal Reserve. Since the market is overheating, the Fed should also increase interest rates.
The U.S. economy began to recover after the Gulf War and has now reached a high point. Before that, Washington was mainly worried about the collapse of technology stocks, so it took a negative attitude towards the Fed's interest rate increase. After all, politicians often don't make the best choice for their own interests.
Simon's lobbying, even without the obvious, Clinton probably understood Simon's view of the new technology market. He realized that the 3000 point was not the peak of the NASDAQ. Now we should take some interest rate measures to delay the overheating of the Nasdaq market, and avoid the new technology bubble going to the top.
As for whether the president will implement it or not, it is not entirely a decision of the White House. The plan also includes lobbying for the Federal Reserve and other departments.