Although old Bush hides well, Gao Xian can feel that he is somewhat lost in the development of his official career.
In fact, recently, Bush Sr. changed his position from director of the US Liaison Office in China to director of the Central Intelligence Agency. Just like when he listened to the then US President Nixon, he gave up his stable seat in the federal house of Representatives and competed for the seat in the federal Senate to combat Nixon's political enemies, but he was defeated by a third party, It was full of twists and turns when Nixon compensated an American representative to the United Nations.
Old Bush's achievements in China have been affirmed, but after all, he is far away from the real power center of the United States. In his heart, he does not forget to partner with current President Ford to compete in this year's American election.
However, at this stage, the Communist Party is fighting fiercely. Even Nelson Rockefeller, a representative of the third generation of the Rockefeller family and a moderate of the Communist Party, has chosen to withdraw. Old bush, who advocates no characteristics, naturally has no choice but to take up the post of director of the Central Intelligence agency.
According to Gao Xian's observation, the camp division of the drinking party is still very clear. For example, the moderate of the drinking party represented by Nelson Rockefeller and the conservative represented by Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater, who is often known as the "Mr. conservative" of the United States.
In addition, Li Gen's rising momentum is very strong. His free economy proposition called "Li Gen economics" after becoming president of the United States in the "old script" has won a lot of support.
In contrast, although old Bush's positive governance performance is commendable, he lacks the ability of "theoretical system", resulting in a lack of attraction to supporters.
Naturally, Gao Xian didn't tell old Bush that you can't wait now, but he counted the advantages of others.
If old Bush had realized something, he joked, "you have studied it very carefully."
"Business development needs it." Gao Xian replied frankly: "especially the stagnant inflation situation encountered by the American economy is quite representative. For example, the British side also encountered a similar situation. Whether the next government of the United States can solve it must be related to business opportunities."
The stagnant inflation mentioned by Gao Xian, namely stagflation, specifically means the macroeconomic phenomenon that inflation and unemployment continue to rise while economic development stagnates.
Stagflation is not a new term. Politicians put it forward in their speeches more than a decade ago. It was only after the world oil crisis that stagflation became more and more important that it was widely valued.
You should know that after the great depression in the world economy in the late 1920s and early 1930s, the new US President Roosevelt pursued a new deal and pursued Keynesian economic theory.
Do not think that capitalist countries do not have a planned economy. Take the current United States for example, the price of natural gas is still controlled. This is one of the functions of Keynesianism.
According to Keynesian theory, economic recession and inflation cannot exist at the same time.
But the actual situation in the United States at this stage is that after the world oil crisis, not only the economy is in recession, inflation and unemployment are high.
The most embarrassing situation is that according to the economic data released by the US government, the US economy has ended the recession this year, but there are no signs of improvement in inflation and unemployment.
In this regard, American economists argued bitterly, which can be called a hundred schools of thought. American politicians also chose the most appropriate theory according to their own interests. For example, Reagan believed in free economy.
Although Gao Xian has the golden finger of asymmetric information, he does not have the ability of economists to give a recipe for curing the stubborn disease of economic stagflation.
After entering this era, Gao Xian is still very diligent and eager to learn. According to his current ideas, Reagan's liberal economics is very effective in treating American shock; In addition, if the huge Chinese market is integrated into the world market, it is estimated that these bad things are not easy to happen.
Gao Xian thinks so because both schemes can bring great benefits to him.
Ligen's implementation of the free economic policy naturally means that all kinds of regulations in the era of Keynesianism were widely abolished. For businessmen like him, there are unlimited opportunities, and they are still on the same starting line as those old forces.
The space provided by the huge Chinese market integrating into the world market is even more unlimited.
Unfortunately, anxious can't eat hot tofu. These two situations can't appear immediately. Gao Xian can only wait patiently.
Of course, this does not mean that the era of stagflation is unprofitable, there are too many controls, and there are no fake hands and feet. But in front of the unprecedented new situation, new ways of playing are emerging one after another.
For example, in the "old script", various Internet financial products such as this treasure and that treasure, which are widely sought after in the Internet era decades later, were invented in the stagflation economic environment.
But it is precisely because the playing method like the monetary fund is too new, more and more deeply experienced the high chord of risk in the capital field, so we have to carefully observe the situation.
As for the observation content, on the one hand, it involves the new policy introduction trend of the US government and the Federal Reserve.
During the chat, old Bush turned the topic to the Xiangjiang futures trading market being prepared by Gao Xian, "what kinds of tradable commodities are you going to introduce?"
"There must be gold," Gao Xian replied truthfully, "there should be sugar, and other kinds are still under investigation."
Old Bush smiled and said, "you have made extraordinary achievements in oil investment. Why didn't you give priority to this variety?"
"Come step by step." Gao Xian shrugged. "And I feel deeply that the water in it is a little deep."
Old Bush was quite touched and said, "although the commercial cake of Xiangjiang is far less than that of the United States, there are not so many competitors. Then it falls to a specific person, and the income is quite considerable. Just like David, your wealth is compared within the scope of the United States, which is enough to enter the top 400."
Gao Xian laughed. "Let's see when the American media will launch a more authoritative wealth list. Now, according to Fortune magazine, the world ship king Bao Yugang is the richest man in Xiangjiang."
Seeing that the time was almost up, old bush, who was beset with official business, first put forward his farewell.
Before leaving, old Bush pointed out his words and said, "it shouldn't be a problem to help you buy an island in Panama, but you may have to provide convenience to the CIA in return."
Gao Xian nodded indifferently. If he really bought the island, it would also be used for special purposes. He would benefit the CIA and pay the protection fee.